Joe Biden thought he had a silver bullet that would save his re-election bid.
Biden thought wrong.
And Joe Biden was blindsided by his pollster giving him this awful news.
As American Patriot Daily reports:
Joe Biden counted on handpicked Democrat prosecutor Jack Smith to convict Trump prior to the election in one of the witch hunts the Biden Justice Department launched against Trump.
An NBC News poll showed a lead over Biden by five points flips to a two-point Biden lead after a guilty verdict against Trump.
Biden’s team leaked to POLITICO that Biden was furious that Attorney General Merrick Garland didn’t move sooner to put Trump on trial before the November election.
“In recent weeks, President Biden has grumbled to aides and advisers that had Garland moved sooner in his investigation into former President Donald Trump’s election interference, a trial may already be underway or even have concluded, according to two people granted anonymity to discuss private matters,” POLITICO reported.
But former Harry Reid pollster Mark Mellman had a word of caution for Democrats hoping that the weaponized justice system would bail out Joe Biden.
In an op-ed in The Hill, Mellman claimed banking on a criminal conviction misread voter psychology.
Mellman cited polling on the Clinton impeachment to demonstrate his point.
“If Clinton lied by testifying under oath last January that he did not have an affair with Lewinsky, and he did not resign, is this something for which Clinton should be impeached, or not?” Washington Post pollsters asked voters in January 1998 as the Lewinsky scandal broke.
Mellman wrote that at the time, 55 percent supported impeachment if it could be proven that Clinton perjured himself and 40 percent opposed attempting to remove Clinton from office.
After investigators proved Clinton lied, pollsters found 76 percent believed Clinton lied under oath.
But Mellman remarked that only 30 percent supported impeachment while 66 percent opposed.
Likewise, Mellman recounted how the Post found 58 percent of voters initially said Clinton should resign if the House of Representatives impeached him with only 38 percent supporting Clinton battling for survival.
Following the House impeaching Clinton in late 1998, 56 percent supported Clinton fighting it out with only 33 percent believing he should resign.
Mellman wrote that voters like to imagine themselves open-minded and willing to consider new information, but when the rubber meets the road that is not actually the case.
“Beliefs are persistent, stubborn things. People fancy themselves open to new information and diverse perspectives, and sometimes we are. But mostly, we go on holding fast to our preexisting views,” Mellman declared.
“Moreover, as I’ve argued before, people are just not very good at projecting their holiday spending or forecasting their reaction to political news. Human beings are not good at transporting themselves to a parallel universe and correctly predicting their own reactions in that alternate reality,” Mellman added.
And in the event of a conviction, Mellman cautioned Democrats to prepare for the polls to still show Trump leading Biden.
“Trump’s current supporters are only slightly more likely to abandon him if he is convicted than the authors of the New York Times op-ed are to support him if he is acquitted,” Mellman concluded.